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AGENDA

Russian-American Nuclear Security Advisory Council (RANSAC)

&

Russian Transition Initiatives (RTI)

Strategies for Russian Nuclear Complex Downsizing and Redirection: Options for New Directions

March 25-26, 2003

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Choate Room

1779 Massachusetts Avenue NW

Washington DC, 20036

Meeting Format

Each session will begin with short introductory remarks designed to address the session topic and stimulate discussion.

DAY ONE

9:30 am - 10:00 am

Welcome and Introduction

• Ken Luongo, RANSAC
• Elly Melamed, RTI

10:00 am – 11:30 am

Macro-Trends in the Russian Economy

• Sustainability of Russian economic growth; trends for the future; report on reform. Keith Bush, Research Director, U.S.-Russia Business Council
• Russian science and technology needs. Dr. Harley Balzer, Georgetown University
• Impediments to investment and cooperation. Dr. Jim Millar, George Washington University

11:30 am – 12:45 pm

Different Strategies for Re-Employment of Weapon Scientists and Production Workers

• Defining the size and need of each group; implementing appropriate projects for each workforce; developing new methods to track progress. Jim Toevs, Los Alamos National Laboratory
• Second-tier workers: assessing the problem. Oleg Bukharin, Princeton University
• Spin-off of scientific research from dismantlement projects; evaluating Minatom approaches to joint ventures. Maurizio Martellini, BCSIA

12:45 pm – 1:15 pm

Lunch

1:15 pm – 2:00 pm

Characteristics of Commercial Successes

• Fundamental characteristics of commercialization successes in Russia. Karen Montagne, U.S.- Russia Business Council
• Creating the conditions for investment in Russia. Richard A. Conn, Latham and Watkins

2:00 pm – 2:45 pm

RTI Success Stories and Future Plans in Closed Nuclear Cities

• Sarov. Anne Starz, RTI
• Snezhinsk. Margot Mininni, RTI
• Zheleznogorsk. George Pomeroy, RTI

2:45 pm – 3:30 pm

New Strategies for Improving Commercialization Success in the Closed Cities

• Overcoming access impediments; moving projects outside the fences; installing projects in less-sensitive buildings or “buffer zones” under local control; expanding floor space of existing businesses; commuting to nearby open towns. Stephen Mladineo, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
• Establishment of nuclear facilities commission(s) to oversee shutdown and conversion. Raphael Della Ratta, RANSAC

15 Minute Break

3:45 pm – 5:00 pm

Applying Weapon Scientist Talent to Identified, “Real World” Needs

• Global science and technology trends and needs. Steve Rattien, RAND Project on International Cooperation in Science and Technology
• Counter-terrorism; energy and environment; nonproliferation; non-nuclear weapons dismantlement. Raphael Della Ratta, RANSAC

5:00 pm

Concluding Remarks; Assessment of Meeting Progress

DAY TWO

9:00 am  - 9:15 am

Welcome and Introduction

• Ken Luongo, RANSAC
• Elly Melamed, RTI

9:15 am - 10:45 am

Creating U.S. and Russian Acceptance of Technical Services and Analytical Opportunities

• Modifying Russian commercialization expectations. Ken Dillon, Center for Appropriate Technology
• Other alternative employment opportunities. Dave Bernstein, Stanford University
• Balancing U.S. political demands for commercial projects. Elizabeth Turpen, Stimson Center

10:45 am – 12:15 pm

Methods for Better Integrating Government and Non-Governmental Programs

• Matthew Bunn, Harvard University, BCSIA
• Michele Flournoy, CSIS
• Ken Luongo, RANSAC

12:15 pm – 1:15 pm

Conclusions and Next Steps

• Group discussion

1:15 pm – 2:00 pm

Luncheon Discussion